We got rain! I had over an inch and half in my gage last week! Some folks in Southern Oklahoma got more than that! Great news, at least in Oklahoma, right? Wrong.
The Midwest is dry and experiencing drought problems, especially the Mississippi river with reduced barge traffic. Many no-tillers want to know what is the probability of a drought next year?
If you keep up with the weather news, you know by now that the folks with the meteorological crystal ball have been saying since mid-summer that we were in for a La Nina pattern this winter. This typically leads to higher-than-normal temperatures and lower-than-normal rates of precipitation on the Southern Plains of the U.S.
It’s certainly great to see how far soil-moisture profiles have come across the Great Plains over the past year. Looking at the U.S. Drought Monitor, you don’t see a sea of brown and red colors that the government uses to signify severe major drought problems.
Climate Prediction Center outlooks indicate a continuation of the trend of above-normal moisture from the southwest U.S. through the central Plains, says Nebraska state climatologist Al Dutcher.
Source: Ohio State University, Purdue University Extension
After an April that brought record rainfall to much of Indiana and Ohio, climatologists agree the weather pattern is improving - a welcome change for farmers in both states.
While much of the attention in the crop markets has been focused on wheat and corn, soybean prices have shown strength even while trading in a wide range during the past 2 months.
High Snowfall totals and colder-than-typical temperatures have historically meant hotter- and drier-than-normal summers, which has fueled speculation among some weather prognosticators that the Midwest could see severe drought conditions.
Corn yield has been much more variable during the past 5 years than was the case in the previous 5 years. Even so, the corn yield has averaged above the long-term national trend line over the past 4 years.
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